Several times a year for the past few years I would revisit and update a spreadsheet that I created sometime back in 2010/2011 to track my (and wife’s) financials. It tracks our incomes, expenses, investments and assets and gives a projection of savings over a time horizon. Ever since we got married and bought a property in 2009 (with a loan, of course — as most Singaporeans do) I was concerned about the $200K+ property debt I had incurred; I worry that I may not be able to pay it off — let alone “retire” comfortably although I do not really buy the idea of a retirement. I believe in a working retirement, but this will be a topic for another day.
The intent of this blog post is to share with you several expensive and painful financial management lessons I have learnt over the years. I know that it may be too late by the time people read this (as is usually the case) but hopefully those who follow my blog will be able to share their experiences or gain some good knowledge before shit hits the fan.
This entry will be more of a summary since I will not be able to cover everything in a single post. I will try to write detailed follow-ups in the near future, and possibly also use this to track/share my investment moves and progress over time.
A little history
In 2009, I bought my current 5-room HDB flat with zero — yes $0 — COV. I was lucky to have bought it during a minor downturn in the property market. Even then, it was rare to buy a flat with no COV.
Before I purchased my property, I set aside $10K of my CPF OA monies into Prudential Investment-Linked Funds (PruLink Singapore Managed Fund and PruLink Global Basics Fund). I was lucky (or maybe not) to have done this before the government imposed a minimum balance in CPF OA before money could be used for investments. The primary goal was to prevent HDB from taking all the money from my CPF OA for the property downpayment so I’ll have some rainy-day reserve. The secondary goal was to grow my money at a better rate than the prevailing CPF OA interest rate — as of this writing, 2.5% p.a..
In 2010, I decided to speak to a friendly financial advisor on how to grow my savings. I bought into two Prudential endowment plans (PruFlexiCash and PruSave).
In early 2011, I received a lump-sum payout from my business and once again approached my friendly financial advisor. I invested 30% of my cash savings into more Investment Linked Funds (ILF). The funds were distributed between a mix of global equities, bonds and commodities — something I thought to be very balanced and risk averse until the markets dipped in July/August 2011 right after I invested my money. FML.
In late 2012, I finally got my online account for Prudential working and found out that my “investments” weren’t doing very well. In fact — they were in a mess. I switched several funds around to something that was relatively stable and growing — Singapore bonds.
In 2013, I decided to buy some shares on SGX myself after realizing my Prudential “investments” were a load of bullcrap. Listening to my old man (who by the way is not your typical uncle trading tips with other uncles at the coffeeshop; he reads lots of books, of course including Warren Buffet’s book) and his theory of “it is never the wrong time to buy for the long term”, I bought into several shares between April and May. The government announced a bunch of cooling measures that killed a large % of my real estate shares and then a big market slide in September dealt a second blow. It’s the 2011 deja-vu. How unlucky can I get?
Fast forward to 2014
My flat has since gained approx. 38% in (unrealized) asset value but I ain’t going to sell it just yet. However if I do sell it, the nett gain after deducting interests would probably be somewhere around 25%.
My CPF “investment” was at -36% of its original value before I switched funds in 2012. As of this writing, it has improved but is still at a miserable -32%. This is after 5 years!
I also learnt that my endowment plans pay hefty commission charges and may possibly not yield the projected 3-7%, but forgoing it early would mean massive losses so I’m just keeping it for the sake of keeping it. Premiums paid-to-date (after exactly 4 years) are around $26K but the current value of the policies are only around $13K. That is almost 50% of losses for early surrender.
My cash investment-linked funds from 2011 are at -8.3% its original value as of this writing. This is after waiting it out for more than 2 years. It was even worse prior to me switching to bonds in late 2012.
My SGX shares are at -6% of its original value as of last week when STI fell below 3,000. But after adding dividends this turns out to be not too bad — my losses are around -4% nett considering that I entered at a really bad time near the peak of 2013 when STI was >3,400. I take this 4% loss as “school fees”.
So with 4 years of crappy financial management, I asked myself if I could have done better.
Summary of lessons learnt
Not all debts are bad. I believe most articles on financial prudence would advise against debt, but it is near impossible for a young working couple to own a home in Singapore without a loan.
Don’t trust your friendly financial adviser. Even if he meant well, the training he had received may not.
Endownment plans are bullcrap unless you are the sort who does not know how to save, then it forces you to save (somewhat).
ILFs are the ultimate garbage. The commission charges will kill you.
As a summary of the three points above, never trust somebody else to manage your money for you… well… because it’s not their money.
The one thing I am not sure about yet is the stock market which I will learn about and experiment with over the course of the next one year.
Stay tuned for further updates…